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Guni- Guni Part III: 90% of Stock Traders Lose Daw.

Noob: Gets ko na maam.

Noob: Mam 90% daw ng traders ay natatalo kaya dapat daw maging investor.

Ganda:

90% OF STOCK TRADERS LOSE

Popular belief ito. I can’t get any real data para eh disprove so I will just agree. If you know me, alam ninyo na di magtatapos dun yun.

MAHIWAGANG "WHY?"

Bakit nga ba 90% daw ng traders nalulugi? Let us try to find out.

If may 10,000 ka at bumili ka ng AC noong 2011 at binenta mo after 8 years magkano kaya kita mo?

Nasa 200% meaning kumita ka more or less 20,000 pesos.

WORTH BA ANG 20,000 PESOS IN 8 YEARS?

You would probably say no. Now let’s take another example. Lets say you had 10 Million at bumili ka AC noong 2011 at binenta mo after 8 years.

AC

Nasa 20 Million kinita mo.

WORTH IT BA ANG 20 MILLION SA 8 YEARS?

YES!

YOU SEE MY POINT?

Hindi pa rin? Ok, let me simplify.

Mas maraming traders ang natatalo not because investing is better but because mas marami ang traders. Marami ang traders dahil mas marami ang may 10,000 pesos lang na pera na traders compared sa may mga 10 Million pesos.

 

LET ME PROVE IT TO YOU.

Ayon sa 2018 Market profile sobrang dami ng retail account na below 500k at sobrang konti ng retail account na above 1 Million.

Stock Market Investor Profile 2018

WORLD WAR 2 VERSUS MARAWI BATTLE

Kapag sinabe mo na mas maraming traders nalulugi kesa sa investor para mo lang din sinabe na mas marami namatay sa World War 2 compared sa Marawi Battle. Of course. Mas marami nakisali sa World War 2. Yun lang yun.

MANY PEOPLE CHOOSE TO BE A TRADER DAHIL SA CAPITAL.

As you have seen sa taas, it won’t make any sense to be an investor with a 10,000 capital.

MAYBE SA PINAS NA DATA YAN EH PAANO SA BUONG MUNDO?

It’s the same. It has nothing to do with geographical location. It has something to do with division of wealth. Look here:

Global Wealth Inequality

INVESTOR VS TRADERS

Mas maraming traders kaya mas maraming nalulugi na traders. Kung mas maraming investor kesa sa traders I’m sure the numbers would be different.

Bakit mas maraming traders? In order kasi to sit and wait you would need a large amount of money para it would make sense.

YAN LANG REASON BAKIT MARAMI NALULUGI NA TRADERS?

Yan lang reason bakit marami nalulugi na traders?

No. There could be a lot of different reason bakit nalulugi ang isang trader. Inexperience, emotions, discipline, etc. pero the same goes through with investors. May inexperience din, may emotion na problema at may kulang din sa disiplina yung pinagkaiba lang is marami talaga traders kaya kahit anong gawin mo yung statistics will always show masmarami nalugi sa traders. Sa sampu kung 3 ang investor at 7 ang traders. Kahit pa maubos lugi ang investor at may dalawang nanalo na trader ay mas marami pa rin nalugi na trader kasi lima sila.

Ganda: Clear na ba?

Noob: Maam si Warren Buffett po investor. Siya po pinakamayaman. May nakita ka ba na mayaman na stock trader?

Ganda: Hahaha. This is my favorite topic. Oh my….

Ganda: MALING MALI!

Ganda: Kilala mo ba talaga si Warren Buffett?

Noob: Yes. Mahirap na nagtiwala sa kakayahan niya sa pag invest.

Ganda:

HOWARD BUFFETT

Wikipedia howard buffet

Mayaman po sina Warren Buffett. Tatay niya naging US representative. May sarili ding brokerage firm ang tatay ni Warren bago pa siya pinanganak.

PARANG SI EDMUND AND LAWRENCE LEE NG COL FINANCIAL

Tingnan mo si April Lee. Now, tell me if ikaw si April Lee will you be a trader or an investor?

Actually mula pa sa lolo ni Warren ay may kaya na talaga sila. Walang rags to riches story sa Buffett Family. Take a look at this.

Warren Buffett

Think about how much yung 100,000 US dollar noong 20’s si Warren. 89 years old na siya ngayon.

SIZE

Even if Warren wanted to be a trader dahil sa size niya hindi rin pwede. If he moves millions of his share katulad ng pag move ng isang trader malaki ang effect nito sa market. Baka nga hindi niya ma liquidate lahat in a month’s time.

BE LIKE WARREN BUFFETT

Palagi mo maririnig yan. They don’t know much about Warren Buffett aside sa “buy when there is blood on the streets” at ” buy when everybody is fearful at sell when everybody is greedy.

Well, if you look at that saying and the actions Warren Buffett took in real life makikita mo yung disconnect. Last 2008 market crash try to fin out kung ano at gaano karaming stock ang binili ni Warren. Go on try. Nevermind lets do today. This Pandemic, search mo kung nagbuy ba siya when there is blood on the street or when everyone is fearful. Go on. Search.

He stayed cash-strapped.

I made my blogs para sa TL Family ko. If wala kasi magtry magturo maniniwala na lang tayo sa kahit sino man magclaim. Di nman kasi naturo sa paaralan ang stock market. I don’t blame you if di mo gamay. I’m here to help you and educate you as much as I can and for as much as I know.

Marami pa tayo pag aaralan at tutuklasin. May you support our advocacy at goal na tulungan for free ang kapwa natin Filipino Stock Traders.

22 Comments

  • Roger

    Salamat sa effort mo Ms Gandahko para mainform kami tungkol sa bagay na ito. Sana palagi kang pagpalain ka ng ating Ama sa langit para patuloy mo mabigyan ng tama inforamation dito sa loob ng TL Family. Thank you again!

  • Ian

    Woah! I just finished reading the whole Guni-guni blog – and wow, just wow.

    This is one of the reasons why I love being a silent reader here, in the forum, and even in our TL FB page – the amount of new information you’ll learn is overflowing, and very eye opening. Lahat, as in.

    And this line: “If wala kasi magtry magturo maniniwala na lang tayo sa kahit sino man magclaim. Di nman kasi naturo sa paaralan ang stock market” is so on point – when we hear other people claiming and excessively displaying their supposed knowledge on a certain topic – we often fall as victims sa mga claims nila. I’ll forever be thankful for being part of TL, and be indebted to you Ms. Ganda, because of your advocacy, we are finally woke. We know better this time, and we continue to grow. Thank you!

  • Jose Sevilla

    WARREN BUFFET IS NOT A GOOD PERSON. He is a bully kaya siya naging successful. He has plenty of cash to buy preferred shares at a bargain. He has the money and influence just like George Soros to control the direction of the market. Warren lost in several airline companies (Delta, United, American, Southwest) and Goldman-Sach’s, and now he is dragging these companies down by echoing that these companies are not investable. As a result, there has been a loss in confidence not only in these sectors but the entire market. He is a narcissist prick! He and Charles Munger think that they are still the best investors at the age of 89 and 96, respectively. If they are truly great they should have realized that there are younger and smarter people that should have replaced them and that they thinking is outdated. Right now, they are just trying to bring stock prices down by releasing bad press statements little by little. Unfortunately, their approach is not effective because of the huge stimulus that the government has poured in the market. Matanda na si Warren Buffet. Wala nang reason para magpayaman or magpasikat pa siya.

  • Ms. A

    Very well said as always! Bravo! You and your team are one shining gem among a huge pile of trash, a needle in a field of haystack, and our silver lining among the thick black clouds…Keep up the wonderful work!

  • nimcy bombay

    Thank you so much
    Dami ko natutunan from Mam GK and TL family. Nakakaenlighten daming nababago sa mga paniniwala ko haha

  • LAGALAG HABAGAT

    Nasa 130 Billion U$D ata ang CASH na hawak ni Warren Buffett sa ngayon… Cash is King…

    Ambangis ng mentor natin… Dami ko na-absorb na reality…

    Ganyan gusto ko, maging purist stock market trader…
    Trading Strategy ROCKS! Ayos! hahaha

  • Elmer

    Enlightened…..thank you..
    kaya praktis praktis praktis, easy-easy lang para di tayo ma-trap sa 90%
    God Bless TL Fam…Fly High..

  • Ann

    Mam, bakit kaya si warren buffet, he stay as cash strapped for this pandemic? Eh puede naman 30percent of his money bibili cya? Salamat po nang marami! God bless po

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